The states with Monday’s lowest 30-year new purchase mortgage rates were New York, California, Georgia, Michigan, New Jersey, Texas, and Florida.

Meanwhile, the states with the most expensive averages on Monday were West Virginia, Washington, D.C., Maryland, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota.

Mortgage rates vary by the state where they originate. Different lenders operate in different regions, and rates can be influenced by state-level variations in credit score, average loan size, and state-specific regulations. Lenders also have varying risk management strategies that influence the rates they offer.

Since rates vary widely across lenders, it’s always smart to shop around for your best mortgage option and compare rates regularly, no matter the type of home loan you seek.

Important

The rates we publish won’t compare directly with teaser rates you see advertised online since those rates are cherry-picked as the most attractive vs. the averages you see here. Teaser rates may involve paying points in advance or may be based on a hypothetical borrower with an ultra-high credit score or for a smaller-than-typical loan. The rate you ultimately secure will be based on factors like your credit score, income, and more, so it can vary from the averages you see here.

National Mortgage Rate Averages

The national average for 30-year new purchase mortgages fell 4 basis points Monday, lowering the average to 6.43%. That’s 15 basis points above the 6.28% average registered two weeks ago—the cheapest level since April 2023. Rates are well below where they were earlier this summer when they began July above 7%.

National Averages of Lenders’ Best Mortgage Rates
Loan Type New Purchase Refinance
30-Year Fixed 6.43% 6.63%
FHA 30-Year Fixed 5.81% 6.20%
15-Year Fixed 5.53% 5.52%
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 6.64% 6.67%
5/6 ARM 7.64% 7.70%
Provided via the Zillow Mortgage API

Calculate monthly payments for different loan scenarios with our Mortgage Calculator.

What Causes Mortgage Rates to Rise or Fall?

Mortgage rates are determined by a complex interaction of macroeconomic and industry factors, such as:

Because any number of these can cause fluctuations simultaneously, it’s generally difficult to attribute any change to any one factor.

Macroeconomic factors kept the mortgage market relatively low for much of 2021. In particular, the Federal Reserve had been buying billions of dollars of bonds in response to the pandemic’s economic pressures. This bond-buying policy is a major influencer of mortgage rates.

But starting in November 2021, the Fed began tapering its bond purchases downward, making sizable monthly reductions until reaching net zero in March 2022.

Between that time and July 2023, the Fed aggressively raised the federal funds rate to fight decades-high inflation. While the fed funds rate can influence mortgage rates, it doesn’t directly do so. In fact, the fed funds rate and mortgage rates can move in opposite directions.

But given the historic speed and magnitude of the Fed’s 2022 and 2023 rate increases—raising the benchmark rate 5.25 percentage points over 16 months—even the indirect influence of the fed funds rate has resulted in a dramatic upward impact on mortgage rates over the last two years.

The Fed has been maintaining the federal funds rate at its current level since last July, with an eighth consecutive rate hold announced on July 31. Although inflation has come down considerably, it’s still above the Fed’s target level of 2%. Until the central bank feels confident inflation is falling sufficiently and sustainably, it has said it’s hesitant to start cutting rates.

The Fed will hold three more meetings this year, with the next one scheduled to conclude on Sept. 18.

How We Track Mortgage Rates

The national and state averages cited above are provided as is via the Zillow Mortgage API, assuming a loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 80% (i.e., a down payment of at least 20%) and an applicant credit score in the 680–739 range. The resulting rates represent what borrowers should expect when receiving quotes from lenders based on their qualifications, which may vary from advertised teaser rates. © Zillow, Inc., 2024. Use is subject to the Zillow Terms of Use.



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