Long term investing is the way to go, but that doesn’t mean you should hold every stock forever. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. Imagine if you held Peach Property Group AG (VTX:PEAN) for half a decade as the share price tanked 85%. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 10% in a month. We really feel for shareholders in this scenario. It’s a good reminder of the importance of diversification, and it’s worth keeping in mind there’s more to life than money, anyway.
So let’s have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business’ progress.
Peach Property Group wasn’t profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we’ll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.
Over five years, Peach Property Group grew its revenue at 24% per year. That’s well above most other pre-profit companies. So on the face of it we’re really surprised to see the share price has averaged a fall of 13% each year, in the same time period. You’d have to assume the market is worried that profits won’t come soon enough. We’d recommend carefully checking for indications of future growth – and balance sheet threats – before considering a purchase.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
We’ve already covered Peach Property Group’s share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Peach Property Group’s TSR, which was a 76% drop over the last 5 years, was not as bad as the share price return.
